Market Folding and Power Folding: Trading Sense · Cycles · Making Situations

Market Folding: Cycles and Trading Sense

The market always cycles between greed and fear. Cycles aren’t linear progression �?they’re structural轮回.

Four-stage model:

1. *Accumulation�? �?Volume shrinks, price横盘,散户 feel nothing,庄家 absorb筹码
2. *Breakout�? �?Price突破关键�?散户 start noticing, volume放大
3. *疯狂�? �?Price accelerates rising,散户涌入, social media沸腾, FOMO蔓延
4. *崩塌�? �?Price暴跌,散户恐慌,庄家 finish出货, entering next accumulation�? Trading sense training: Trading sense isn’t天赋 �?it’s muscle memory of structural识别 ability. Training method: Look at K-line charts 10 minutes daily,不看 price只看 structure �?volume分布,关键�?testing, time节奏. After three months, your sensitivity to structure will qualitatively提升.

Power Folding: Making and Anti-Making Situations

庄家做局 structure:

Absorbing筹码 (silent collection in low-price zones) �?Testing (small-scale拉升 testing阻力) →拉�?(volume突破引发散户关注) →出�?(batch selling at高位,散户 think it’s回调 still buying) →崩�?(散户 trapped,庄家 completed cycle)

散户 anti-做局 strategy:

1. 识别做局 signals �?Abnormal volume, price脱钩 from fundamentals, social media suddenly集中讨论某个�?2. Don’t be the局中人 �?Don’t buy during FOMO phase, don’t sell during恐慌 phase
2. Reverse操作 using庄家 thinking �?Observe during accumulation�?(don’t rush入场), small position试探 during breakout�?减仓 during疯狂�? wait for next accumulation�?during崩塌�? The core of weak defeating strong isn’t正面硬刚 �?it’s识别 structure�?choosing the right timing and position. 散户’s advantage is flexibility �?can快速进�?without worrying about liquidity.庄家’s weakness is size �?entering/exiting需要时�?痕迹可追�?

Market folding + Power folding = the core framework for散户 survival. Acknowledge being the weaker party, then use structural thinking to find the weaker party’s advantageous positions.